Wednesday, 22 August 2007

New Haven - A washout

The weather decimated the days play at New Haven yesterday, other than big John Isner overwhelming little Benjamin Becker and James Blake continuing his ownership of Arnaud Clement, there were no matches started on the East Coast.

Assuming the weather clears up sufficiently, I'll be on a treble today of Andreev, Karlovic and Mathieu, which pays 2.4 and all should win without too many dramas, although I'm a little skittish about Andreev v Montanes after the other day.

Having taken care of Clement, Blake looks good to regain the Pilot Pen trophy he won in 2005, but would you want to have too much on Blake at 3.15? I wouldn't trust him at that sort of price.

Looking ahead to the US Open, I've had a look at the womens event, which due to the lack of a Federer or Nadal, offers much better value and I like the look (not physically of course) of Svetlana Kuznetsova, about whom I've had 50 matched on Betfair.

The winner of this in 2004, Svetlana has the game for hard courts and is a great price for a number four seed, given the question marks about the top three in the betting.

Henin has won this title just once in eight attempts and does not carry the same aura about her as she does on clay and as such is no value at all at 3.3, while there are fitness concerns about Serena Williams and Maria Sharapova, both of whom have pulled out of their last events through injury.

Venus Williams also has just one win from eight in this event and is best backed when she's behind in one of the early rounds as she was at Wimbledon. There's no value about her at the current price of 11.

Young guns Jankovic and Ivanovic are under priced too and best looked at when the draw is announced, but my advice would be to find 50's about Kuznetsova before she wins the Pilot Pen.

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