Well, it looks like my predictions are paying off again this week. My 50-1 tip Radek Stepanek continued his smooth progress in LA last night and now faces a tough semi-final with Nicolas Kiefer. Time to lay off Stepanek and an all-profit outcome will be heading my way from the Countrywide Classic.
As predicted, the clay court tournament in Holland has proved to be impossible to call, with the winner now coming from either 33 year old first time ATP finalist Werner Eschauer or Steve Darcis, a little known Belgian, who I must confess I had never heard of before this event. Carlos Moya threw away his chances and my profit by collapsing in his semi with Eschauer after being a set up and firmly in control.
Better news surely in Stuttgart though, where my timely bet on Nadal (at 3-1) whilst the Pearl of Manacor was injured in his match with Kohlschreiber is looking very good indeed, as he is now in the final and has won 91 out of his last 92 on clay. If my glass was half empty I might throw into the equation the fact that Nadal's one loss was against a Swiss and he faces another in the final in the form of surprise contender Stanislas Wawrinka, who has been struggling with injury of late. Assuming the Spaniard's knee holds out, he should win comfortably regardless of the opposition.
On the individual bets front, I enjoyed a nice profit yesterday on Feliciano Lopez when he took out J C Ferrero in three sets in Stuttgart and today when Wawrinka came from a set down to beat Juan Ignacio Chela, also on Germany's red dirt. Chela was a winner for me in the previous round when he came back to beat Fernando Verdasco in a tough three setter.
Unlike the RP tipster, I didn't fancy a bar of Mikhail Youzhny in Amersfoort and consequently I had a one point bet on compatriot Evgeny Korolev to take care of him in their quarter final match up. Youzhny squeezed through this one but couldn't manage to beat Darcis at huge odds on and he doesn't look fit to me.
Over in Carnoustie, the Tiger looks for all the world like he's going to be the cause of a five point deficit for me in The Open. His golf has been all over the place, literally, for the last two and a half rounds and the appallingly attired Sergio Garcia will have to choke more spectacularly than Jean Van der Velde to lose it now. The Spaniard is clear of the field and clear of Tiger by eight shots, all of which makes him unbackable at a best priced 4-6.
Saturday, 21 July 2007
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