If I could just concentrate solely on picking winners of tennis tournaments and curtail my individual match betting to the occasional bet, I would be considerably richer for it.
My pre-event bet on Potito Starace has followed in the footsteps of Mathieu and Stepanek by reaching the final, this time at a best priced 31-1 and an average of 28-1. However, the rest of the week's activities means that Starace must go close in the final today in order to restore parity to my ailing finances.
The problem with backing someone like a Starace is that you're never confident of victory against the top players and a lay-off is required to ensure a profitable outcome. This was the case yesterday when my weekly losses meant that I had to lay Starace a bit against Calleri in the semi finals to make sure I came out on top in the (very likely) event of an Italian defeat. Of course, I wasn't banking on Calleri playing some truly awful tennis and Starace winning in straight sets. I watched the match on live stream and didn't see the stats, but the defeated Argentinian made so many unforced errors and served appallingly all match, handing Starace the win before I had chance to manoeuvre the liability.
Anyway, at least I have another finalist and a chance to at least end this week almost level, depending on what sort of opportunities arise in today's match. I was hoping for the final to be against Verdasco, but Juan Monaco put paid to that, so all sensible thought leads to a Monaco victory today. More alteration of my investment is required I think.
Thankfully, the post-Roland Garros clay court muppetry season is almost over now and I can get back to the hard court swing and the build up to the US Open, where players will actually be making an effort to win matches and tv coverage will be plentiful.
Sunday, 29 July 2007
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