No individual match wagers yesterday then, as there were some distinctly average-looking clashes in LA last night, but tonight looks a bit more interesting with my outside bet taking centre stage.
Seb Grosjean is surely overpriced to take out Vinny Spadea and [2.34] looks to be worthy of a medium sized investment.
The injury problems that Grosjean has suffered this season means that there is an element of guesswork involved in assessing his fitness, but based on ability there's no contest between the Frenchman and Spadea.
The pair know each other well, both living in Boca Raton, Florida and have played five times - Grosjean having the edge at 3-2 - with Spadea winning their only recent encounter.
The American however has a dismal record in LA, having lost in the first round three times in the last four years and six times from his ten starts here and at 34 years old, he's not likely to improve on that significantly.
The fact that this is Grosjean's first competitive match since pulling out of Wimbledon means that much is taken on trust and it might take him three sets, but the former Masters Cup finalist is expected to prevail.
Other matches of interest today include John Isner v Marat Safin and Wayne Odesnik v Bobby Reynolds.
The outsider could well prevail in each of these two clashes and with Safin's propensity to become annoyed against big servers, it could pay to side with the 6 feet 9 inch Isner at [2.58].
Odesnik v Reynolds should be much closer than the prices suggest and a back to lay policy on Odesnik [3.2] could create a tidy profit.
Carlos Moya could also struggle against Xavier Malisse, but given the injury problems that the Belgian has had of late, it might be wise to simply watch that match.
At his best Malisse would be more than a match for Moya on this surface, however he did retire in a challenger in his last outing a couple of weeks ago and it's asking a lot for him to take out Moya first up here.
Tuesday, 5 August 2008
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